| you are: the Forecast of movement of a cash
More often forecasts of movement of a cash happen superoptimistical. It can lead to underestimation of short-term financial requirements and, in turn, to a lack of money resources. While for payment receipts on sales there is only a problem of a delay of payment, forecasting of payments can be erroneous at once in three directions: expenses can appear above, the number of categories of expenses can appear more and payment can be demanded earlier, than it was expected. The combination of these factors creates difficulties even for well organised enterprise, and a similar sort experience can serve as a good lesson: the forecast needs to be made on "moderately pessimistic" basis.
4. For drawing up of the comprehensible forecast changes and improvements be required. Satisfactory forecasts seldom turn out from the first. As well as other parts of process of forecasting, change are required for a balance establishment between ability of the owner of the enterprise to organise job of people, manufacture, marketing and financial assets and financial requirements for support of this organisation. In our example of company Alcock! s Joinery in the beginning of 1991 will lack on bill 12100 of pounds of a cash. If such level of debts is unacceptable for bank, the forecast should be counted proceeding from Other set of the assumptions, one of which, most likely, will be other forecast of a sales volume. Thus, essential revision of all process of forecasting is required.
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